Common Video Poker Fallacies: Myths That Hurt Your Chances of Winning

Common Video Poker Fallacies

When it comes to video poker, misinformation is everywhere. Misunderstandings and myths can lead to poor decisions and lower returns. Let’s debunk some common misconceptions, clarify the facts, and ensure your decisions at the machine are always based on strategy, not superstition.

Myth #1: “This Machine Is Due for a Big Payout”

Many players believe that a video poker machine is “due” after a series of losing hands. This misconception assumes the game has a memory or pattern. In reality, each hand is entirely independent because the cards are dealt randomly by a Random Number Generator (RNG).

The Reality: Each hand is a fresh event. Past results have no influence on future outcomes. Instead of relying on false assumptions about what’s “due,” focus on understanding pay tables and optimal strategy.

Myth #2: “Holding Certain Cards Guarantees a Win”

Some players mistakenly believe certain cards or combinations guarantee future wins. For example, they might always hold onto face cards or lucky combinations thinking it will eventually pay off.

The Reality: Video poker rewards mathematical strategy—not superstition. Knowing when to discard and when to hold cards based on expected value (EV) calculations will consistently produce better long-term results.

Myth #3: Video Poker is Just Like Slots

Due to the visual similarities—screens, buttons, and graphics—some mistakenly think video poker is essentially the same as slot machines.

The Reality: Unlike slots, video poker allows players to influence their odds through skill and decision-making. With correct strategies, video poker often offers one of the lowest house edges available, sometimes approaching zero or even going negative, making it significantly superior to slots in terms of potential returns.

Myth #4: “Machines Near the Entrance Pay Better”

A common casino superstition is that video poker machines placed near entrances or in busy areas have better payout rates.

The Reality: Casinos position machines strategically to maximize traffic flow, not to adjust payouts. Regulations strictly control payback percentages, making strategic play far more impactful than machine location.

Myth #4: “You Must Always Play the Bonus Round to Win Big”

In some video poker variants (such as Bonus Poker), players can choose to “double down” their winnings in a bonus round. Some players incorrectly assume that using this feature frequently increases their odds of profiting.

The Reality: The “double down” bonus round offers a 50/50 gamble—doubling or losing your winnings. While exciting, it’s mathematically neutral, with no inherent advantage to using it consistently. Use bonus rounds sparingly for entertainment rather than as part of your long-term strategy.

Strategy Beats Superstition Every Time

The bottom line is clear: successful video poker play depends on knowledge and skill, not myths or misconceptions. For optimal results:

  • Learn and follow proven strategies, such as our comprehensive Jacks or Better strategy.
  • Always verify the pay table before playing.
  • Approach the game mathematically—strategy always outperforms superstition in the long run.