Bits & Odds

Wizard of Odds optimal strategy chart

Thirty-six lines, the longest published chart. Everything a pattern matcher can express; the six penalty-card footnotes are the part it cannot. Played through every one of the 2,598,960 possible deals on a full-pay 9/6 machine, this chart returns exactly 99.5429% against 99.5439% for perfect play — a gap of 0.0010 percentage points, or $0.01 an hour at quarters and $0.03 an hour at dollars.

99.5429%exact return, 9/6
0.0010 ppbelow perfect play
1 in 101,461hands, to lose one bet
0.21%of deals misplayed

Source

Jacks or Better Optimal Strategy (9/6), Michael Shackleford, Wizard of Odds. Transcribed 2026-09-19. The source quotes 99.54% for this chart; exhaustive enumeration of the list as published gives 99.5429%.

The chart

Read it top down and hold the first line your hand matches. A high card means a jack, queen, king or ace.

#Hold
1 Dealt royal flush
2 Dealt straight flush
3 Dealt four of a kind
4 4 to a royal flush
5 Dealt full house
6 Dealt flush
7 3 of a kind
8 Dealt straight
9 4 to a straight flush
10 Two pair
11 High pair
12 3 to a royal flush
13 4 to a flush
14 Unsuited TJQK
15 Low pair
16 4 to an outside straight with 0-2 high cards
17 3 to a straight flush (type 1)
18 Suited QJ
19 4 to an inside straight, 4 high cards
20 Suited KQ or KJ
21 Suited AK, AQ, or AJ
22 4 to an inside straight, 3 high cards
23 3 to a straight flush (type 2)
24 Unsuited JQK
25 Unsuited JQ
26 Suited TJ
27 2 unsuited high cards king highest
28 Suited TQ
29 2 unsuited high cards ace highest
30 J only
31 Suited TK
32 Q only
33 K only
34 A only
35 3 to a straight flush (type 3)
36 Garbage, discard everything

Where it differs from perfect play

5,496 deals are played differently from the exact solution — 0.21% of hands, in 6 kinds. They are listed costliest first, with the share of the whole 0.0010-point gap each one carries and the running total. The example is the single worst hand in that class.

Chart holdsPerfect play holdsRow that fires DealsCostShareRunning
2 to a royal flush 2 unsuited high cards Suited TQ 1,512 0.00036 pp 36.6% 36.6%
2 to a royal flush 2 unsuited high cards Suited TJ 1,260 0.00024 pp 23.9% 60.4%
3 to a royal flush 4 to a flush 3 to a royal flush 864 0.00017 pp 17.7% 78.1%
2 suited high cards 4 to an inside straight Suited QJ 324 0.00011 pp 11.1% 89.2%
2 to a royal flush 1 high card Suited TK 1,440 0.00009 pp 8.7% 97.9%
4 to an inside straight 3 to a straight flush 4 to an inside straight, 3 high cards 96 0.00002 pp 2.1% 100.0%

The worst hand in each class

DealtChart holdsWorthPerfect play holdsWorth
2♦ 9♣ T♦ Q♦ A♥ T♦ Q♦ 0.4619 Q♦ A♥ 0.4743
2♦ 8♣ T♦ J♦ K♥ T♦ J♦ 0.4762 J♦ K♥ 0.4862
2♥ T♥ J♥ Q♦ A♥ T♥ J♥ A♥ 1.2692 2♥ T♥ J♥ A♥ 1.2766
2♣ J♣ Q♣ K♦ A♥ J♣ Q♣ 0.5837 J♣ Q♣ K♦ A♥ 0.5957
2♥ 3♣ 9♦ T♥ K♥ T♥ K♥ 0.4582 K♥ 0.4598
7♣ 9♣ J♣ Q♦ K♥ 9♣ J♣ Q♦ K♥ 0.5319 7♣ 9♣ J♣ 0.5375

"Worth" is the exact expected value of that hold in coins per coin bet, over all the ways the draw can come out of the remaining 47 cards. You can check any of them in the hand analyzer.

On the other standard machines

MachineThis chartPerfect playGapCost/hour, quarters
9/6 (800-50-25-9-6-4-3-2-1) 99.5429% 99.5439% 0.0010 pp $0.01
9/5 (800-50-25-9-5-4-3-2-1) 98.4457% 98.4498% 0.0041 pp $0.03
8/6 (800-50-25-8-6-4-3-2-1) 98.3917% 98.3927% 0.0010 pp $0.01
8/5 (800-50-25-8-5-4-3-2-1) 97.2945% 97.2984% 0.0039 pp $0.03
7/5 (800-50-25-7-5-4-3-2-1) 96.1433% 96.1472% 0.0039 pp $0.03
6/5 (800-50-25-6-5-4-3-2-1) 94.9921% 94.9961% 0.0041 pp $0.03

The chart was written for 9/6 and is applied unchanged to the rest, which is what a player does. Cost per hour assumes 600 hands an hour at five quarters a hand.

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