Bits & Odds

$500,000 Winter Ice — $5 Michigan Scratch-Off #0615

Data captured · launched December 5, 2023

$500,000 Winter Ice (#0615) is a $5 Michigan scratch-off launched on December 5, 2023. As of October 25, 2026 it ranks #80 of 107 active games on current payout (65.1%, $3.25 expected back per ticket) and #27 of 31 $5 games, #82 on any-prize odds (1 in 4.36) and #36 on top-prize odds (1 in 1,610,585). Since launch the payout has fallen 4.8 points (69.9% at launch) and your chance of winning something has fallen 7.1% (1 in 4.05 at launch). 1 of 2 top prizes of $500,000 remain, and we estimate 1,610,585 tickets are still unsold (63.4% sold). That is below average for Michigan; the Michigan ranking lists show better payouts, including at $5.

Current payout
65.1%
69.9% at launch
Expected value
$3.25
per $5 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 4.36
1 in 4.05 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 4.36
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 7.26
win more than $5
$600+ odds
1 in 1,610,585
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
1 of 2
$500,000 each
Tickets remaining
36.6%
≈ 1,610,585 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in $500,000 Winter Ice, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. To set its odds of $1,000 or more (or any other prize size) against every other Michigan game, see odds by prize size. Across all tiers, 369,328 of 1,087,488 prizes (34.0%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$500,000 1 in 2,202,163 1 in 1,610,585 2 1 1 50.0%
$500 1 in 293,622 1 in 230,084 15 8 7 46.7%
$100 1 in 1,609 1 in 1,988 2,738 1,928 810 29.6%
$50 1 in 55.4 1 in 64.6 79,494 54,556 24,938 31.4%
$20 1 in 31.2 1 in 34.7 141,066 94,666 46,400 32.9%
$15 1 in 29.4 1 in 32.5 149,900 100,372 49,528 33.0%
$10 1 in 14.7 1 in 16.1 299,903 199,722 100,181 33.4%
$5 1 in 10.6 1 in 10.9 414,370 266,907 147,463 35.6%
All prizes1 in 4.051 in 4.36 1,087,488718,160 369,32834.0%

How $500,000 Winter Ice has moved

64% 66% 67% Feb 2025Jul 2025Oct 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking $500,000 Winter Ice. 121 daily readings.

$500,000 Winter Ice: common questions

How many $500,000 prizes are left in $500,000 Winter Ice?
1 of 2 as of October 25, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 1,610,585.
What are the odds of winning anything on $500,000 Winter Ice?
1 in 4.36 as of October 25, 2026, compared with 1 in 4.05 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 4.36, and the odds of winning more than the $5 ticket price are 1 in 7.26.
Is $500,000 Winter Ice worth buying?
Its current payout is 65.1% ($3.25 back per $5 ticket), rank #80 of 107 in Michigan. The best $5 alternative as of October 25, 2026 is Make It Rein (#0673, $5) at 74.4%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many $500,000 Winter Ice tickets are left?
We estimate 1,610,585 of roughly 4,404,326 printed tickets are unsold (63.4% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did $500,000 Winter Ice launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on December 5, 2023. It is still on sale.

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