Bits & Odds

$500,000 Winter Ice — $5 Michigan Scratch-Off #0615

Data captured September 9, 2026 · launched December 5, 2023

$500,000 Winter Ice (#0615) is a $5 Michigan scratch-off launched on December 5, 2023. As of September 9, 2026 it ranks #78 of 107 active games on current payout (65.1%, $3.25 expected back per ticket) and #25 of 29 $5 games, #82 on any-prize odds (1 in 4.36) and #40 on top-prize odds (1 in 1,610,820). Since launch the payout has fallen 4.8 points (69.9% at launch) and the any-prize odds have worsened 7.7% (1 in 4.05 at launch). 1 of 2 top prizes of $500,000 remain, and we estimate 1,610,820 tickets are still unsold (63.4% sold). That is below average for Michigan; the Michigan ranking lists show better payouts, including at $5.

Current payout
65.1%
69.9% at launch
Expected value
$3.25
per $5 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 4.36
1 in 4.05 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 4.36
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 7.26
win more than $5
$600+ odds
1 in 1,610,820
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
1 of 2
$500,000 each
Tickets remaining
36.6%
≈ 1,610,820 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in $500,000 Winter Ice, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. Across all tiers, 369,435 of 1,087,488 prizes (34.0%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$500,000 1 in 2,202,163 1 in 1,610,820 2 1 1 50.0%
$500 1 in 293,622 1 in 230,117 15 8 7 46.7%
$100 1 in 1,609 1 in 1,989 2,738 1,928 810 29.6%
$50 1 in 55.4 1 in 64.6 79,494 54,552 24,942 31.4%
$20 1 in 31.2 1 in 34.7 141,066 94,654 46,412 32.9%
$15 1 in 29.4 1 in 32.5 149,900 100,362 49,538 33.0%
$10 1 in 14.7 1 in 16.1 299,903 199,692 100,211 33.4%
$5 1 in 10.6 1 in 10.9 414,370 266,856 147,514 35.6%
All prizes1 in 4.051 in 4.36 1,087,488718,053 369,43534.0%

How $500,000 Winter Ice has moved

64% 66% 67% Feb 2025Jun 2025Sep 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking $500,000 Winter Ice. 121 daily readings.

$500,000 Winter Ice: common questions

How many $500,000 prizes are left in $500,000 Winter Ice?
1 of 2 as of September 9, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 1,610,820.
What are the odds of winning anything on $500,000 Winter Ice?
1 in 4.36 today, compared with 1 in 4.05 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 4.36, and the odds of winning more than the $5 ticket price are 1 in 7.26.
Is $500,000 Winter Ice worth buying?
Its current payout is 65.1% ($3.25 back per $5 ticket), rank #78 of 107 in Michigan. The best $5 alternative today is Safe Cracker Cashword (#0669, $5) at 84.8%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many $500,000 Winter Ice tickets are left?
We estimate 1,610,820 of roughly 4,404,326 printed tickets are unsold (63.4% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did $500,000 Winter Ice launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on December 5, 2023. It is still on sale.

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