Bits & Odds

Smokin' Hot Million — $10 Michigan Scratch-Off #0703

Data captured September 9, 2026 · launched May 6, 2025

Smokin' Hot Million (#0703) is a $10 Michigan scratch-off launched on May 6, 2025. As of September 9, 2026 it ranks #37 of 107 active games on current payout (75.3%, $7.53 expected back per ticket) and #14 of 27 $10 games, #43 on any-prize odds (1 in 3.88) and #43 on top-prize odds (1 in 1,724,789). Since launch the payout has fallen 1.2 points (76.5% at launch) and the any-prize odds have worsened 3.0% (1 in 3.77 at launch). 2 of 3 top prizes of $1,000,000 remain, and we estimate 3,449,578 tickets are still unsold (43.7% sold). That is a middle-of-the-pack game: fine to play, but the ranking lists show better value at the same price.

Current payout
75.3%
76.5% at launch
Expected value
$7.53
per $10 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 3.88
1 in 3.77 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 3.88
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 6.27
win more than $10
$600+ odds
1 in 45,994
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
2 of 3
$1,000,000 each
Tickets remaining
56.3%
≈ 3,449,578 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in Smokin' Hot Million, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. Across all tiers, 888,050 of 1,624,006 prizes (54.7%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$1,000,000 1 in 2,040,834 1 in 1,724,789 3 1 2 66.7%
$10,000 1 in 291,548 1 in 344,958 21 11 10 47.6%
$2,000 1 in 60,025 1 in 54,755 102 39 63 61.8%
$500 1 in 5,018 1 in 4,914 1,220 518 702 57.5%
$100 1 in 65.2 1 in 65.6 93,833 41,269 52,564 56.0%
$50 1 in 25.0 1 in 26.2 244,627 113,078 131,549 53.8%
$30 1 in 37.6 1 in 39.1 163,014 74,893 88,121 54.1%
$20 1 in 12.0 1 in 12.4 509,630 232,252 277,378 54.4%
$10 1 in 10.0 1 in 10.2 611,556 273,895 337,661 55.2%
All prizes1 in 3.771 in 3.88 1,624,006735,956 888,05054.7%

How Smokin' Hot Million has moved

73% 76% 78% May 2025Jul 2025Sep 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking Smokin' Hot Million. 121 daily readings.

Recent claims of $1,000 and up

Derived from day-to-day changes in the official remaining-prize counts, so the date is when the lottery published the change.

Smokin' Hot Million: common questions

How many $1,000,000 prizes are left in Smokin' Hot Million?
2 of 3 as of September 9, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 1,724,789.
What are the odds of winning anything on Smokin' Hot Million?
1 in 3.88 today, compared with 1 in 3.77 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 3.88, and the odds of winning more than the $10 ticket price are 1 in 6.27.
Is Smokin' Hot Million worth buying?
Its current payout is 75.3% ($7.53 back per $10 ticket), rank #37 of 107 in Michigan. The best $10 alternative today is Lady Luck 777 (#0711, $10) at 78.5%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many Smokin' Hot Million tickets are left?
We estimate 3,449,578 of roughly 6,122,502 printed tickets are unsold (43.7% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did Smokin' Hot Million launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on May 6, 2025. It is still on sale.

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