Bits & Odds

Lucky Match — $10 Texas Scratch-Off #2705

Data captured September 9, 2026 · launched December 1, 2025

Lucky Match (#2705) is a $10 Texas scratch-off launched on December 1, 2025. As of September 9, 2026 it ranks #67 of 79 active games on current payout (64.3%, $6.43 expected back per ticket) and #12 of 13 $10 games, #39 on any-prize odds (1 in 3.95) and #46 on top-prize odds (1 in 1,939,861). Since launch the payout has fallen 5.8 points (70.0% at launch) and the any-prize odds have worsened 9.1% (1 in 3.62 at launch). 2 of 4 top prizes of $250,000 remain, and we estimate 3,879,722 tickets are still unsold (52.6% sold). That is below average for Texas; the Texas ranking lists show better payouts, including at $10.

Current payout
64.3%
70.0% at launch
Expected value
$6.43
per $10 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 3.95
1 in 3.62 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 3.95
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 6.22
win more than $10
$600+ odds
1 in 34,033
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
2 of 4
$250,000 each
Tickets remaining
47.4%
≈ 3,879,722 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in Lucky Match, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. Across all tiers, 983,101 of 2,261,631 prizes (43.5%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$250,000 1 in 2,045,675 1 in 1,939,861 4 2 2 50.0%
$50,000 1 in 1,363,783 1 in 775,944 6 1 5 83.3%
$10,000 1 in 818,270 1 in 775,944 10 5 5 50.0%
$1,000 1 in 39,916 1 in 38,036 205 103 102 49.8%
$500 1 in 3,730 1 in 4,154 2,194 1,260 934 42.6%
$250 1 in 922.2 1 in 1,019 8,873 5,064 3,809 42.9%
$100 1 in 99.8 1 in 111.2 81,990 47,098 34,892 42.6%
$75 1 in 100.1 1 in 109.9 81,783 46,467 35,316 43.2%
$50 1 in 50.0 1 in 55.3 163,743 93,647 70,096 42.8%
$30 1 in 66.7 1 in 73.7 122,719 70,057 52,662 42.9%
$25 1 in 50.0 1 in 55.1 163,564 93,201 70,363 43.0%
$20 1 in 25.0 1 in 27.5 327,395 186,065 141,330 43.2%
$15 1 in 16.7 1 in 18.1 491,137 276,817 214,320 43.6%
$10 1 in 10.0 1 in 10.8 818,008 458,743 359,265 43.9%
All prizes1 in 3.621 in 3.95 2,261,6311,278,530 983,10143.5%

How Lucky Match has moved

63% 65% 66% Sep 2026Sep 2026Sep 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking Lucky Match. 3 daily readings.

Lucky Match: common questions

How many $250,000 prizes are left in Lucky Match?
2 of 4 as of September 9, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 1,939,861.
What are the odds of winning anything on Lucky Match?
1 in 3.95 today, compared with 1 in 3.62 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 3.95, and the odds of winning more than the $10 ticket price are 1 in 6.22.
Is Lucky Match worth buying?
Its current payout is 64.3% ($6.43 back per $10 ticket), rank #67 of 79 in Texas. The best $10 alternative today is Limited Edition Mega Loteria (#2721, $10) at 70.1%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many Lucky Match tickets are left?
We estimate 3,879,722 of roughly 8,182,700 printed tickets are unsold (52.6% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did Lucky Match launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on December 1, 2025. It is still on sale.

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