Bits & Odds

$4,000,000 LION’S SHARE — $10 Massachusetts Scratch Ticket #441

Data captured · launched April 16, 2024

$4,000,000 LION’S SHARE (#441) is a $10 Massachusetts scratch ticket launched on April 16, 2024. As of October 25, 2026 it ranks #18 of 129 active games on current payout (85.6%, $8.56 expected back per ticket) and #12 of 35 $10 games, #49 on any-prize odds (1 in 3.88) and #65 on top-prize odds (1 in 2,212,962). Since launch the payout has risen 0.5 points (85.0% at launch) and your chance of winning something has fallen 10.5% (1 in 3.47 at launch). 1 of 3 top prizes of $4,000,000 ($200K/YR/20YRS) remain, and we estimate 2,212,962 tickets are still unsold (81.7% sold). That is a middle-of-the-pack game: fine to play, but the ranking lists show better value at the same price.

Current payout
85.6%
85.0% at launch
Expected value
$8.56
per $10 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 3.88
1 in 3.47 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 3.88
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 6.72
win more than $10
$600+ odds
1 in 2,833
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
1 of 3
$4,000,000 ($200K/YR/20YRS) each
Tickets remaining
18.3%
≈ 2,212,962 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. To set its odds of $1,000 or more (or any other prize size) against every other Massachusetts game, see odds by prize size. Across all tiers, 570,921 of 3,485,980 prizes (16.4%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$4,000,000 ($200K/YR/20YRS) 1 in 4,032,000 1 in 2,212,962 3 2 1 33.3%
$1,000,000 ($50K/YR/20YRS) 1 in 2,419,200 1 in 2,212,962 5 4 1 20.0%
$5,000 1 in 86,400 1 in 88,518 140 115 25 17.9%
$1,000 1 in 2,717 1 in 2,935 4,452 3,698 754 16.9%
$500 1 in 676.1 1 in 779.5 17,892 15,053 2,839 15.9%
$100 1 in 61.2 1 in 70.2 197,568 166,058 31,510 15.9%
$50 1 in 100.0 1 in 114.6 120,960 101,642 19,318 16.0%
$25 1 in 100.0 1 in 113.0 120,960 101,381 19,579 16.2%
$20 1 in 12.5 1 in 14.1 967,680 811,256 156,424 16.2%
$15 1 in 20.0 1 in 22.4 604,800 505,975 98,825 16.3%
$10 1 in 8.33 1 in 9.16 1,451,520 1,209,875 241,645 16.6%
All prizes1 in 3.471 in 3.88 3,485,9802,915,059 570,92116.4%

How $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE has moved

82% 85% 88% Feb 2025Jul 2025Oct 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE. 121 daily readings.

Recent claims of $1,000 and up

Derived from day-to-day changes in the official remaining-prize counts, so the date is when the lottery published the change.

$4,000,000 LION’S SHARE: common questions

How many $4,000,000 prizes are left in $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE?
1 of 3 as of October 25, 2026. The chance that a ticket bought today is a top-prize winner is about 1 in 2,212,962.
What are the odds of winning anything on $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE?
1 in 3.88 as of October 25, 2026, compared with 1 in 3.47 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 3.88, and the odds of winning more than the $10 ticket price are 1 in 6.72.
Is $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE worth buying?
Its current payout is 85.6% ($8.56 back per $10 ticket), rank #18 of 129 in Massachusetts. The best $10 alternative as of October 25, 2026 is $50, $100 and $500 BLOWOUT (#451, $10) at 92.5%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE tickets are left?
We estimate 2,212,962 of roughly 12,091,162 printed tickets are unsold (81.7% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did $4,000,000 LION’S SHARE launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on April 16, 2024. It is still on sale.

Other $10 Massachusetts scratch tickets