Bits & Odds

$500,000 MATCH TO WIN — $5 New York Scratch-Off #1658

Data captured September 9, 2026 · launched June 3, 2025

$500,000 MATCH TO WIN (#1658) is a $5 New York scratch-off launched on June 3, 2025. As of September 9, 2026 it ranks #6 of 109 active games on current payout (80.1%, $4.00 expected back per ticket) and #3 of 28 $5 games, #7 on any-prize odds (1 in 2.80) and #89 on top-prize odds (—). Since launch the payout has risen 15.0 points (65.0% at launch) and the any-prize odds have improved 32.7% (1 in 4.16 at launch). 0 of 3 top prizes of $500,000 remain, and we estimate 230,492 tickets are still unsold (96.1% sold). That puts it among the best New York scratch-offs to buy right now.

Current payout
80.1%
65.0% at launch
Expected value
$4.00
per $5 ticket
Any-prize odds
1 in 2.80
1 in 4.16 at launch
Cash odds
1 in 2.80
excludes free tickets
Profit odds
1 in 5.17
win more than $5
$600+ odds
claim-at-lottery prizes
Top prizes left
0 of 3
$500,000 each
Tickets remaining
3.9%
≈ 230,492 tickets

Prizes remaining

Every prize level in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. Across all tiers, 82,280 of 1,435,606 prizes (5.7%) are still out there.

PrizeOdds at launchOdds now TotalClaimedRemaining% left
$500,000 1 in 1,992,033 3 3 0 0.0%
$2,000 1 in 597,610 10 10 0 0.0%
$500 1 in 9,670 1 in 8,537 618 591 27 4.4%
$200 1 in 1,709 1 in 1,733 3,496 3,363 133 3.8%
$100 1 in 328.9 1 in 280.7 18,169 17,348 821 4.5%
$50 1 in 80.0 1 in 70.7 74,709 71,450 3,259 4.4%
$20 1 in 124.9 1 in 100.6 47,836 45,545 2,291 4.8%
$15 1 in 62.5 1 in 50.0 95,644 91,032 4,612 4.8%
$10 1 in 10.0 1 in 6.89 597,539 564,099 33,440 5.6%
$5 1 in 10.0 1 in 6.11 597,582 559,885 37,697 6.3%
All prizes1 in 4.161 in 2.80 1,435,6061,353,326 82,2805.7%

How $500,000 MATCH TO WIN has moved

61% 72% 82% Jun 2025Aug 2025Sep 2026
Current payout (solid) and any-prize odds (dashed, inverted so up is better) since we began tracking $500,000 MATCH TO WIN. 121 daily readings.

Recent claims of $1,000 and up

Derived from day-to-day changes in the official remaining-prize counts, so the date is when the lottery published the change.

$500,000 MATCH TO WIN: common questions

How many $500,000 prizes are left in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
0 of 3 as of September 9, 2026. The top prize is gone; anything you win will be a lower tier.
What are the odds of winning anything on $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
1 in 2.80 today, compared with 1 in 4.16 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 2.80, and the odds of winning more than the $5 ticket price are 1 in 5.17.
Is $500,000 MATCH TO WIN worth buying?
Its current payout is 80.1% ($4.00 back per $5 ticket), rank #6 of 109 in New York. The best $5 alternative today is $1,000,000 GOLD (#1655, $5) at 93.4%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
How many $500,000 MATCH TO WIN tickets are left?
We estimate 230,492 of roughly 5,975,820 printed tickets are unsold (96.1% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
When did $500,000 MATCH TO WIN launch and is it still on sale?
It launched on June 3, 2025. It is still on sale.

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