$500,000 MATCH TO WIN — $5 New York Scratch-Off #1658
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN (#1658) is a $5 New York scratch-off launched on June 3, 2025. As of October 25, 2026 it ranks #6 of 109 active games on current payout (80.0%, $4.00 expected back per ticket) and #3 of 29 $5 games, #7 on any-prize odds (1 in 2.81) and #91 on top-prize odds (—). Since launch the payout has risen 14.9 points (65.0% at launch) and your chance of winning something has risen 48.2% (1 in 4.16 at launch). 0 of 3 top prizes of $500,000 remain, and we estimate 228,435 tickets are still unsold (96.2% sold). Its current figures fail our plausibility check (the caution below), so whatever its place in the list, we do not count it among the best New York scratch-offs to buy. A caution on the current figures: the any-prize odds have moved from 1 in 4.16 to 1 in 2.81, further than a game's odds really move. Its prize tiers disagree about how many tickets are left (between 0.23 million and 0.37 million), usually because small prizes are claimed late, and the current odds and payout lean on that disagreement. The printed odds are the safer guide, and our summaries do not name this game the best of anything (how we estimate).
Prizes remaining
Every prize level in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN, with the odds printed at launch, the odds today given what is left, and how much of each tier is still unclaimed. To set its odds of $1,000 or more (or any other prize size) against every other New York game, see odds by prize size. Across all tiers, 81,345 of 1,435,606 prizes (5.7%) are still out there.
| Prize | Odds at launch | Odds now | Total | Claimed | Remaining | % left |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $500,000 | 1 in 1,992,033 | all claimed | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% |
| $2,000 | 1 in 597,610 | all claimed | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% |
| $500 | 1 in 9,670 | 1 in 8,461 | 618 | 591 | 27 | 4.4% |
| $200 | 1 in 1,709 | 1 in 1,718 | 3,496 | 3,363 | 133 | 3.8% |
| $100 | 1 in 328.9 | 1 in 281.3 | 18,169 | 17,357 | 812 | 4.5% |
| $50 | 1 in 80.0 | 1 in 70.8 | 74,709 | 71,483 | 3,226 | 4.3% |
| $20 | 1 in 124.9 | 1 in 101.1 | 47,836 | 45,577 | 2,259 | 4.7% |
| $15 | 1 in 62.5 | 1 in 50.0 | 95,644 | 91,077 | 4,567 | 4.8% |
| $10 | 1 in 10.0 | 1 in 6.91 | 597,539 | 564,458 | 33,081 | 5.5% |
| $5 | 1 in 10.0 | 1 in 6.13 | 597,582 | 560,342 | 37,240 | 6.2% |
| All prizes | 1 in 4.16 | 1 in 2.81 | 1,435,606 | 1,354,261 | 81,345 | 5.7% |
How $500,000 MATCH TO WIN has moved
Recent claims of $1,000 and up
- September 13, 2025: one $2,000 prize was claimed; 3 remain.
- September 3, 2025: one $500,000 prize was claimed; 1 remain.
- August 18, 2025: one $2,000 prize was claimed; 4 remain.
- August 9, 2025: one $2,000 prize was claimed; 5 remain.
- July 23, 2025: one $2,000 prize was claimed; 6 remain.
- July 17, 2025: 2 $2,000 prizes were claimed; 7 remain.
- July 6, 2025: one $2,000 prize was claimed; 9 remain.
- June 10, 2025: one $500,000 prize was claimed; 2 remain.
$500,000 MATCH TO WIN: common questions
- How many $500,000 prizes are left in $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
- 0 of 3 as of October 25, 2026. The top prize is gone; anything you win will be a lower tier.
- What are the odds of winning anything on $500,000 MATCH TO WIN?
- 1 in 2.81 as of October 25, 2026, compared with 1 in 4.16 printed at launch. Cash-only odds are 1 in 2.81, and the odds of winning more than the $5 ticket price are 1 in 5.18.
- Is $500,000 MATCH TO WIN worth buying?
- Its current payout is 80.0% ($4.00 back per $5 ticket), rank #6 of 109 in New York. That figure fails our plausibility check (see the caution above), so read it as approximate and not as a reason to buy. The best $5 alternative as of October 25, 2026 is NEW YORK MILLIONAIRE (#1651, $5) at 90.0%. No scratcher has a positive expected value; this is about losing less over time.
- How many $500,000 MATCH TO WIN tickets are left?
- We estimate 228,435 of roughly 5,975,820 printed tickets are unsold (96.2% sold), derived from the prizes claimed at each tier and their published odds.
- When did $500,000 MATCH TO WIN launch and is it still on sale?
- It launched on June 3, 2025. It is still on sale.
Other $5 New York scratch-offs
- $1,000,000 GOLD — 93.6% payout, 1 in 7.07 any prize
- NEW YORK MILLIONAIRE — 90.0% payout, 1 in 4.57 any prize
- 50Xtra — 79.5% payout, 1 in 2.95 any prize
- DOUBLE WIN — 77.8% payout, 1 in 3.04 any prize
- BONUS 20X — 77.2% payout, 1 in 3.14 any prize