Bits & Odds

Detailed analysis for Bonus Poker 7/5 (20 5-K) Video Poker

We computed every hand probability for this paytable to get the overall payout (expected value) and the optimal strategy. Paytables change both, so the strategy for one machine is not the strategy for another that looks identical. This one returns 97.1951% under perfect play, ranking 6 of the 9 Bonus Poker paytables we analyse.

Variance per hand is 20.4018 (standard deviation 4.52 bet units), computed from the exact counts below. That is the number that sizes a bankroll: the bankroll calculator shows what it means over a session.

Payout table

HandPayout (1 coin)
Royal Flush800
Straight Flush50
Four Aces80
Four 2s-4s40
Four 5s-Ks20
Full House7
Flush5
Straight4
Three of a Kind3
Two Pair2
Jacks or Better1

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Analysis

HandPayoutProbabilityCombinationsEV contribution
Royal Flush 800 0.002485% 41,285,509 0.019883
Straight Flush 50 0.010733% 178,287,247 0.005367
Four Aces 80 0.019583% 325,294,097 0.015666
Four 2s-4s 40 0.052725% 875,820,904 0.021090
Four 5s-Ks 20 0.163911% 2,722,723,708 0.032782
Full House 7 1.151113% 19,121,164,041 0.080578
Flush 5 1.089341% 18,095,064,979 0.054467
Straight 4 1.127128% 18,722,747,224 0.045085
Three of a Kind 3 7.443390% 123,642,334,654 0.223302
Two Pair 2 12.925802% 214,710,817,968 0.258516
Jacks or Better 1 21.521496% 357,494,113,062 0.215215
Nothing 0 54.492294% 905,172,889,707 0.000000
Total100%1,661,102,543,1000.971951

Read the last column as cents per dollar wagered coming back from each hand type. Royal flushes are worth chasing not because they are likely but because their payout is large enough to matter over millions of hands; the bulk of the return comes from the ordinary hands near the bottom of the table.

Other paytables