California SuperLotto Plus Odds and Payouts (October 2026)
Every prize tier, its real odds, and — the part nobody else publishes — what each one contributes to what a $1 ticket is actually worth.
Every prize tier
| Match | Odds | Prize | Worth per ticket | Share of return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 + Mega | 1 in 41,416,353 | Jackpot | varies | — |
| 5 | 1 in 1,592,937 | $17,000 | $0.01 | 6% |
| 4 + Mega | 1 in 197,221 | $1,470 | $0.01 | 4% |
| 4 | 1 in 7,585 | $94 | $0.01 | 7% |
| 3 + Mega | 1 in 4,810 | $53 | $0.01 | 7% |
| 3 | 1 in 185.01 | $10 | $0.05 | 31% |
| 2 + Mega | 1 in 360.77 | $10 | $0.03 | 17% |
| 1 + Mega | 1 in 74.00 | $2 | $0.02 | 15% |
| 0 + Mega | 1 in 48.69 | $1 | $0.02 | 12% |
| All fixed prizes | 1 in 23.49 | — | $0.17 | 100% |
What a ticket has been worth, draw by draw
Not the jackpot — the ticket. Every draw since October 15, 2025, priced with the cash value, the split and the real advertised jackpot of that night.
what comes back what does not jackpot won, value resets Hover or tap the chart for any draw
What the jackpot is worth — and why it is less than it looks
What the jackpot adds depends on tonight's number — but it is not simply the jackpot times the odds. Three things cut it down:
- The advertised figure is an annuity. Taking the money now is worth about 43% of it.
- Tax. Federal withholding starts at 24% and the top marginal rate is higher; most states take more. Our calculator does this properly.
- Sharing. A big jackpot sells more tickets, and more tickets means a real chance somebody else picked your line too. At $60 million there are roughly 3.0 million tickets in play, so a winner keeps about 96% of it on average.
| Advertised jackpot | Cash value | Tickets in play (est.) | Your share if you win | Ticket worth (before tax) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 million | $3 million | 1.8M | 98% | $0.24 |
| $16 million | $7 million | 2.1M | 98% | $0.33 |
| $25 million | $11 million | 2.3M | 97% | $0.42 |
| $34 million | $14 million | 2.5M | 97% | $0.51 |
| $43 million | $18 million | 2.7M | 97% | $0.60 |
| $52 million | $22 million | 2.9M | 97% | $0.69 |
| $61 million | $26 million | 3.0M | 96% | $0.77 |
| $70 million | $30 million | 3.1M | 96% | $0.86 |
The same curve as a slider, with the billboard number taken apart deduction by deduction — including the jackpot at which the ticket starts being worth what it costs.
Ticket-sales figures are fitted to this game's own published figures — California Lottery's published per-tier winner counts, 106 draws to 2026-09-19. They are the one estimated input here, and only the sharing column depends on them. Everything else is exact arithmetic on the published prize table. The formulas are on our methodology page.
How this compares with a scratcher
A $1 SuperLotto Plus ticket returns 17 cents on the dollar in fixed prizes. Scratchers publish enough detail for us to compute the same figure for every game on sale, and the answer is consistently much higher — because a scratcher has no jackpot soaking up the prize pool. Right now the best in California returns 83 cents. See every California ticket ranked.
That is not an argument for switching — a scratcher has no jackpot, and the jackpot is what people are buying. It is just the trade, stated plainly.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the odds of winning the SuperLotto Plus jackpot?
- 1 in 41,416,353. You must match all 5 main numbers and the Mega number.
- What are the odds of winning anything on SuperLotto Plus?
- 1 in 23.49. Bear in mind that the most common win by far is the smallest prize — matching the Mega number alone, at 1 in 48.69.
- How much is a SuperLotto Plus ticket actually worth?
- Excluding the jackpot, $0.17 per $1 ticket — 17 cents on the dollar. Adding the jackpot at a $64 million level takes it to about $0.80. It does reach break-even, which is unusual: past a jackpot of about $84 million the ticket is worth more than it cost, before tax. A state game sells to a state, so the jackpot can grow without the sales that would dilute a win growing with it.
- Does a bigger jackpot make a ticket a better bet?
- Better, but not proportionally. Going from $6 million to $60 million — ten times the jackpot — raises a ticket's expected value by roughly 3.3 times, not ten, because the prizes below the jackpot do not grow with it at all.