Bits & Odds

3 Card Poker Odds: Ante, Pair Plus & 6 Card Bonus

Every probability and house edge on this page is computed by full enumeration of all 22,100 three-card player hands against all 18,424 unseen dealer hands. Test these numbers in our Free 3 Card Poker Game.

Ante & Play Summary (Q-6-4 Optimal Strategy)

Metric Exact Value Notes
Ante House Edge 3.3730% (3.37%) Expected loss per initial Ante wager under Q-6-4 strategy
Element of Risk (Total Action) 2.0147% (2.01%) Expected loss divided by average units wagered (1.6742 units/hand)
Play (Raise) Frequency 67.42% (14,900 / 22,100) All hands Q-6-4 or better raise; 7,200 hands (32.58%) fold
Dealer Qualification Rate 69.59% Dealer holds Queen-high (Q-3-2) or better
Ante Bonus Frequency 3.71% (820 / 22,100) Straight (720), Three of a Kind (52), or Straight Flush (48)
Exceptions to Q-6-4 Rule 0 of 22,100 hands Zero suit-removal exceptions across the entire deck

Pair Plus House Edge by Pay Table

Cutting the Flush payout by a single unit—from 4 to 1 down to 3 to 1—costs 4.96% of your wager on every hand, raising the Pair Plus house edge from 2.32% to 7.28%.

Pay Table Mini Royal Str. Flush Trips Straight Flush Pair House Edge
1-4-6-30-40 40 to 1 40 to 1 30 to 1 6 to 1 4 to 1 1 to 1 2.32% (2.3167%)
1-4-6-33-35 35 to 1 35 to 1 33 to 1 6 to 1 4 to 1 1 to 1 2.70% (2.6968%)
1-3-6-30-40-100 100 to 1 40 to 1 30 to 1 6 to 1 3 to 1 1 to 1 6.19% (6.1900%)
1-3-6-30-40 40 to 1 40 to 1 30 to 1 6 to 1 3 to 1 1 to 1 7.28% (7.2760%)
1-3-5-30-40 40 to 1 40 to 1 30 to 1 5 to 1 3 to 1 1 to 1 10.53% (10.5339%)

Borderline Hands Around the Q-6-4 Cutoff

When you fold, your return is exactly −1.0000 unit. Below is the exact expected value of raising across all 18,424 unseen dealer hands on the hands immediately above and below the Q-6-4 boundary (full derivation):

Player Hand Suit Pattern Dealer No-Qual (+1) Player Wins (+2) Dealer Wins (−2) Ties (0) Play EV Best Action
Q-6-5 Rainbow (3 suits) 5,754 339 12,305 26 -0.9866 Play
Q-6-4 Rainbow (3 suits) 5,758 305 12,335 26 -0.9934 Play
Q-6-4 Two-suited 5,758 303 12,338 25 -0.9939 Play
Q-6-3 Rainbow (3 suits) 5,747 271 12,380 26 -1.0026 Fold
Q-6-3 Two-suited 5,747 270 12,382 25 -1.0029 Fold
Q-6-2 Rainbow (3 suits) 5,732 237 12,429 26 -1.0124 Fold
J-10-8 Rainbow (highest Jack-high) 5,277 0 13,147 0 -1.1407 Fold

6 Card Bonus Combinatorics (20,358,520 Hands)

The optional 6 Card Bonus combines your three cards and the dealer's three cards to form the best five-card poker hand out of C(52, 6) = 20,358,520 combinations:

Best 5-Card Hand (of 6 Cards) Combinations Probability 1000-200-100-20-15-10-7 1000-200-50-25-15-10-5
Royal Flush 188 0.0009% 1,000 to 1 1,000 to 1
Straight Flush 1,656 0.0081% 200 to 1 200 to 1
Four of a Kind 14,664 0.0720% 100 to 1 50 to 1
Full House 165,984 0.815% 20 to 1 25 to 1
Flush 205,792 1.011% 15 to 1 15 to 1
Straight 361,620 1.776% 10 to 1 10 to 1
Three of a Kind 732,160 3.596% 7 to 1 5 to 1
House Edge 20,358,520 six-card deals 8.56% 15.28%

Frequently asked questions

What is the house edge on the Ante bet in 3 Card Poker?
Under optimal Q-6-4 strategy, the house edge on the Ante bet is 3.3730% (3.37%). Because you raise with an equal Play wager on 67.42% of hands, your average bet per round is 1.6742 units and your element of risk per unit wagered is 2.01%.
What is the house edge on Pair Plus in Three Card Poker?
On the full-pay 1-4-6-30-40 pay table, Pair Plus has a 2.3167% (2.32%) house edge. On the common 1-3-6-30-40 table where a Flush pays 3:1 instead of 4:1, the house edge more than triples to 7.28%.
How often do you get a Pair or better in 3 Card Poker?
Out of C(52, 3) = 22,100 three-card hands, 5,660 hands form a Pair or better (25.61%), while 16,440 hands are High Card (74.39%).
Are there any hands where suits change the Q-6-4 play or fold rule?
No. Exhaustive enumeration of all 22,100 player hands against all 18,424 unseen dealer hands confirms 0 exceptions: Q-6-4 rainbow (−0.9934 EV) and Q-6-4 two-suited (−0.9939 EV) both beat folding (−1.0000), while Q-6-3 rainbow (−1.0026 EV) and Q-6-3 two-suited (−1.0029 EV) are both folds.